Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.003773 0.004123 0.004498 0.004930 0.005417 0.005949 0.006577
2025-11-02 0.003139 0.003620 0.004173 0.004858 0.005692 0.006683 0.007962
2025-11-09 0.002805 0.003353 0.004011 0.004869 0.005973 0.007368 0.009293
2025-11-16 0.002538 0.003118 0.003839 0.004818 0.006135 0.007882 0.010435
2025-11-23 0.002311 0.002902 0.003659 0.004720 0.006204 0.008256 0.011408
2025-11-30 0.002179 0.002793 0.003601 0.004770 0.006464 0.008906 0.012848
2025-12-07 0.002100 0.002744 0.003615 0.004913 0.006861 0.009788 0.014756
2025-12-14 0.001966 0.002609 0.003496 0.004849 0.006939 0.010189 0.015941
2025-12-21 0.001837 0.002471 0.003361 0.004748 0.006945 0.010467 0.016948
2025-12-28 0.001738 0.002368 0.003267 0.004698 0.007023 0.010864 0.018213
2026-01-04 0.001671 0.002306 0.003228 0.004727 0.007227 0.011491 0.019995
2026-01-11 0.001586 0.002213 0.003137 0.004665 0.007270 0.011836 0.021279
2026-01-18 0.001510 0.002130 0.003061 0.004629 0.007368 0.012318 0.022984
2026-01-25 0.001431 0.002041 0.002969 0.004562 0.007408 0.012703 0.024574
2026-02-01 0.001376 0.001985 0.002926 0.004572 0.007586 0.013372 0.026921
2026-02-08 0.001315 0.001914 0.002854 0.004525 0.007651 0.013822 0.028854
2026-02-15 0.001249 0.001834 0.002762 0.004435 0.007625 0.014081 0.030374
2026-02-22 0.001215 0.001802 0.002746 0.004481 0.007866 0.014933 0.033596
2026-03-01 0.001199 0.001798 0.002777 0.004612 0.008290 0.016246 0.038395
2026-03-08 0.001150 0.001738 0.002709 0.004553 0.008318 0.016664 0.040781
2026-03-15 0.001098 0.001671 0.002626 0.004460 0.008264 0.016883 0.042634
2026-03-22 0.001058 0.001622 0.002569 0.004414 0.008307 0.017342 0.045358
2026-03-29 0.001032 0.001594 0.002551 0.004441 0.008512 0.018229 0.049736